National Bestseller

Improve the odds of success at every step of the innovation journey.

The handbook to achieve new product success is here.

When it comes to innovation, too many companies and management teams struggle – not to come up with ideas, which often aren’t in short supply, but to turn ideas into viable new concepts that generate meaningful new growth and an attractive return on innovation spending. Studies show that of the thousands of product launches each year, 70-90% fail.


Is there a better way? Yes! The key is… don’t gamble! In Predictable Winners, Stuart Jackson and Ilya Trakhtenberg show you how to take steps to systematically manage innovation risk – reducing the hazards of new product or service development and sharply increasing the odds of success.


Drawing on their decades of experience at L.E.K. Consulting helping clients manage thousands of growth-oriented projects, they detail what top innovators do: find the best ideas no matter the source, use data to identify and systematically manage risk at every stage, get quick customer feedback (and make sure losing ideas fail fast), measure their innovation investments the way a venture investor would, and take a long view – turning one-hit wonders into enduring franchises.


The result? A success rate for innovation investment well above 50%. That level of success means CEOs can risk spending more – with the assurance that more of their innovations will succeed.

An introduction to Predictable Winners a National Bestseller

Packed with in-depth conversations with top innovators as well as richly detailed case studies that cover industries such as life sciences, technology, software and consumer goods and feature insights from emerging start-ups and established giants such as Google, P&G, Tesla and Disney,  Predictable Winners provides a road map for leaders who need to innovate to grow – and the assurance that there is more to innovation than a roll of the dice.


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Get the most out of Predictable Winners with the Innovation Journey Checklist and the short summary What's Inside Predictable Winners. Fill out the form below to download.

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“Success today is often about which teams can change and innovate the fastest. This book will help organizations get new products right the first time. It should be a cornerstone of management development programs.”

—Paul Walsh,   Chairman McLaren Group

“…a menu of options to optimize your chances of winning with new innovations. The framework in this book will help you move faster, be smarter in defining the market and the potential upside, and execute with confidence to increase your chances of success."

—Ania Smith,  CEO TaskRabbit

“Provides a great framework for those of us involved in early-stage product platform development as we make the tough calls on where to place our investment bets.”

—Paul K. Wotton, Adjunct Professor, Rice Bioengineering & Exec Director Rice Biotech Launch Pad

“One thing I really like about this book is its strategic approach to both internal product development and acquisition of innovative new platforms. Few organizations combine both effectively.”

—Kevin Mayer, CEO Candle Media, Former CEO TikTok

“This is how investors want their CEOs to think. When does a team seek input into product/market fit? Not just at the outset, but every day along the way. When does a team stop pressure-testing the product concept against the market need? Never. When does a product owner stop listening? Never. The lessons provided by the authors are practical, applicable, and invaluable.”

—Paul LaViolette, Managing Partner SV Health Investors, former COO Boston Scientific

A Deeper Look into Predictable Winners

About the Authors

Stuart Jackson led L.E.K. Consulting as Global Managing Partner and now serves as Vice Chair. He has worked with hundreds of clients who have enjoyed higher growth, increased their profit margins in existing businesses, added scores of new services and products, and completed more than 100 merger and acquisition transactions. He is a past recipient of Consulting Magazine’s Top 25 Consultants award. He is the author of the highly acclaimed book Where Value Hides: A New Way to Uncover Profitable Growth for Your Business (Wiley, 2006) and has contributed to The Wall Street Journal, The Journal of Business Strategy, and Harvard Business Review.


Ilya Trakhtenberg is a Partner and Managing Director in L.E.K. Consulting’s Chicago office and a leading partner in its healthcare practice. In his more than 15 years with L.E.K., he has led hundreds of engagements with a wide range of corporate and private equity clients to develop and launch innovative new products, accelerate business growth, and deliver superior investment returns.


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